External vulnerability and preventive policies
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Date
2006
Authors
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
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Publisher
Banco Central de Chile
Abstract
Description
Emerging market economies endure significant macroeconomic volatility. The large correlation between external factors, e.g., terms of trade and world interest rate shocks, and domestic macroeconomic volatility is highly suggestive of their key role, but it does not explain the mechanism through which they operate. The evidence hints at the presence of strong multiplier effects, of which financial mechanisms are leading candidates. Although a significant component of this macroeconomic volatility is exogenous to emerging markets, it does not mean that domestic policy is secondary. Quite the opposite: facing large volatility makes good domestic policy decisions all the more important. This volume is an attempt to characterize the main external shocks affecting emerging market economies, the sources of structural weaknesses, and the best policy frameworks for dealing with these problems. The main policy lessons are derived from a balanced combination of actual experiences documented through case and cross-country studies, and from normative analyses.
Keywords
ECONOMÍA, ESTABILIDAD ECONÓMICA, POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA